Notes Design

Australian David Holmgren, the cofounder of the permaculture concept has just launched a new global scenario planning website - Future Scenarios.org A snippet from the Energy Bulletin elucidates,

Holmgren says his future scenarios will help both policy makers and activists come to terms with the end of the era of growth.[...] uses a scenario planning framework to bring to life the likely cultural, political, agricultural and economic implications of peak oil and climate change.

"Scenario planning allows us to use stories about the future as a reference point for imagining how particular strategies and structures might thrive, fail or be transformed," says Holmgren

Future Scenarios depicts four very different futures. Each is a permutation of mild or destructive climate change, combined with either slow or severe energy declines. Scenarios range from the relatively benign Green Tech to the near catastrophic Lifeboats scenario..

Here's a link to Holmgren's 12 design principles of permaculture